Theory and Applications of Conditional Entropy of Heat Diffusion on Temporal Networks
Complex systems are ubiquitous in nature, and complex networks provide a flexible framework to model many of them. Many real-world networks evolve in time, and so do their structural properties. This thesis develops a mathematical framework for the study of static and temporal graphs based on the conditional entropy of heat diffusion, establishes its main theoretical properties, and demonstrates its usefulness for the analysis and structural interpretation of time-evolving networks. The main idea is to combine Markov chain theory and information theory in order to define an entropy-like quantity for diffusion processes on graphs, thereby providing a thermodynamic perspective on network dynamics. The first part of the thesis introduces the conditional entropy of heat diffusion on static graphs and shows that it satisfies an information-theoretic analogue of the second law of thermodynamics. Explicit formulas are derived for several graph families, including complete graphs, path graphs, and circulant graphs, together with a mean-field approximation for Erdős–Rényi graphs, asymptotic results, and bounds for general networks. The second part extends the framework to temporal graphs, where diffusion is governed by an inhomogeneous Markov process. In this setting, the thesis proves a temporal monotonicity result, derives an upper bound for conditional entropy, and relates deviations from this bound to asymmetric temporal paths. A local version of conditional entropy is then introduced to study diffusion over finite temporal windows. This local quantity is used as a signal for change point detection in continuous-time temporal networks, evaluated on synthetic benchmarks, compared with nonparametric baselines, and applied to a real-world temporal contact network. The detected change points are also used to guide community detection on selected time intervals, improving the interpretability of the resulting clusters. Finally, the thesis also introduces a queueing-based sampling framework for continuous-time temporal networks. In its Markovian version, link arrivals follow a homogeneous Poisson process and link durations are exponentially distributed. Coupled with block-structured endpoint distributions, the model yields a continuous-time analogue of stochastic block models and enables the generation of temporal networks with controllable smoothness and following prescribed event patterns.